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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 am HST Tue Aug 22 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 39 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
15N 175W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13)
20N 175W 34 1 6( 7) 18(25) 19(44) 19(63) 4(67) X(67)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 14(30) 2(32) X(32)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 171N 1706W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 171N 1706W 50 88 5(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 171N 1706W 64 48 11(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
24 181N 1717W 34 58 31(89) 5(94) 1(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96)
24 181N 1717W 50 12 48(60) 8(68) 2(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71)
24 181N 1717W 64 2 25(27) 8(35) 1(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
36 189N 1727W 34 9 47(56) 20(76) 6(82) 5(87) 1(88) X(88)
36 189N 1727W 50 1 20(21) 25(46) 7(53) 3(56) 1(57) X(57)
36 189N 1727W 64 X 6( 6) 14(20) 5(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27)
48 196N 1738W 34 3 17(20) 29(49) 15(64) 11(75) 2(77) 1(78)
48 196N 1738W 50 X 3( 3) 17(20) 14(34) 8(42) 1(43) X(43)
48 196N 1738W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18)
72 207N 1759W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 16(26) 24(50) 7(57) 1(58)
72 207N 1759W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 4(25) X(25)
72 207N 1759W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10)
96 210N 1777W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 21(29) 12(41) 2(43)
96 210N 1777W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14)
96 210N 1777W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
120 209N 1796W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 12(23) 5(28)
120 209N 1796W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
120 209N 1796W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 85 85 85 85 80 75
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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