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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.11.0608221442 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 221442
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 am HST Tue Aug 22 2006
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115  
KTS...135 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34 99   X(99)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL   50 92   2(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
JOHNSTON ISL   64 64   7(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 
15N 175W       34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   1(13)
 
20N 175W       34  X   3( 3)  11(14)  19(33)  25(58)   6(64)   1(65)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  14(24)   5(29)   1(30)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)   2(15)   X(15)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)   2(15)
25N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 166N 1699W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   1(99)
 12 166N 1699W 50 90   4(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 166N 1699W 64 64  12(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 
 24 177N 1710W 34 57  34(91)   4(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 177N 1710W 50 12  56(68)   7(75)   2(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 24 177N 1710W 64  2  38(40)   9(49)   1(50)   2(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 
 36 185N 1720W 34  7  52(59)  21(80)   5(85)   4(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 36 185N 1720W 50  1  24(25)  27(52)   8(60)   4(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 36 185N 1720W 64  X   9( 9)  20(29)   7(36)   2(38)   1(39)   X(39)
 
 48 193N 1730W 34  2  19(21)  32(53)  16(69)  10(79)   1(80)   1(81)
 48 193N 1730W 50  X   4( 4)  19(23)  16(39)   9(48)   1(49)   X(49)
 48 193N 1730W 64  X   1( 1)   9(10)   9(19)   7(26)   1(27)   X(27)
 
 
 72 205N 1752W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  16(26)  27(53)   8(61)   1(62)
 72 205N 1752W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  16(23)   5(28)   1(29)
 72 205N 1752W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   8(10)   2(12)   1(13)
 
 
 96 214N 1772W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  20(25)  15(40)   4(44)
 96 214N 1772W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)   2(15)
 96 214N 1772W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
120 220N 1791W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  14(23)   6(29)
120 220N 1791W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)
120 220N 1791W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    110    110     105     100      95      90      85
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MATSUDA