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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.10.0608220842 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 220842
PWSCP2

HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
1100 pm HST Mon Aug 21 2006
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115  
KTS...135 MPH.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JOHNSTON ISL   34 92   6(98)   X(98)   X(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL   50 69  20(89)   2(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
JOHNSTON ISL   64 30  35(65)   2(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 
15N 175W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   5(12)   1(13)   1(14)
 
20N 175W       34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  15(24)  29(53)  10(63)   3(66)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  17(24)   7(31)   1(32)
20N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   3(15)   1(16)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   9(14)   3(17)
25N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
MIDWAY         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 162N 1692W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 162N 1692W 50 90   4(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 162N 1692W 64 64  13(77)   X(77)   X(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 
 24 173N 1705W 34 49  41(90)   5(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 173N 1705W 50  8  60(68)   9(77)   1(78)   2(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 24 173N 1705W 64  1  40(41)   9(50)   2(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
 36 182N 1716W 34  4  49(53)  27(80)   6(86)   3(89)   1(90)   X(90)
 36 182N 1716W 50  X  21(21)  31(52)   8(60)   5(65)   1(66)   X(66)
 36 182N 1716W 64  X   8( 8)  22(30)   8(38)   3(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 
 48 189N 1726W 34  2  17(19)  34(53)  17(70)  11(81)   2(83)   1(84)
 48 189N 1726W 50  X   3( 3)  23(26)  16(42)   9(51)   2(53)   X(53)
 48 189N 1726W 64  X   1( 1)  11(12)  10(22)   8(30)   1(31)   X(31)
 
 
 72 203N 1747W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  16(26)  29(55)   9(64)   2(66)
 72 203N 1747W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  17(25)   7(32)   1(33)
 72 203N 1747W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)   4(17)   1(18)
 
 
 96 214N 1770W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  19(23)  20(43)   6(49)
 96 214N 1770W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   9(16)   3(19)
 96 214N 1770W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)
 
 
120 223N 1796W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)  10(29)
120 223N 1796W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
120 223N 1796W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    120    120     115     110     105     105     105
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MATSUDA