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HURRICANE IOKE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
1100 pm HST Mon Aug 21 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...135 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JOHNSTON ISL 34 92 6(98) X(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 69 20(89) 2(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 30 35(65) 2(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
15N 175W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 1(13) 1(14)
20N 175W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 15(24) 29(53) 10(63) 3(66)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 17(24) 7(31) 1(32)
20N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 1(16)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 3(17)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
MIDWAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 162N 1692W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 162N 1692W 50 90 4(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 162N 1692W 64 64 13(77) X(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
24 173N 1705W 34 49 41(90) 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 173N 1705W 50 8 60(68) 9(77) 1(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80)
24 173N 1705W 64 1 40(41) 9(50) 2(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53)
36 182N 1716W 34 4 49(53) 27(80) 6(86) 3(89) 1(90) X(90)
36 182N 1716W 50 X 21(21) 31(52) 8(60) 5(65) 1(66) X(66)
36 182N 1716W 64 X 8( 8) 22(30) 8(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41)
48 189N 1726W 34 2 17(19) 34(53) 17(70) 11(81) 2(83) 1(84)
48 189N 1726W 50 X 3( 3) 23(26) 16(42) 9(51) 2(53) X(53)
48 189N 1726W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 10(22) 8(30) 1(31) X(31)
72 203N 1747W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 16(26) 29(55) 9(64) 2(66)
72 203N 1747W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 17(25) 7(32) 1(33)
72 203N 1747W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 4(17) 1(18)
96 214N 1770W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 20(43) 6(49)
96 214N 1770W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 3(19)
96 214N 1770W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8)
120 223N 1796W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 10(29)
120 223N 1796W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
120 223N 1796W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 120 120 115 110 105 105 105
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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