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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006
500 pm HST Sat Aug 19 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 160W 34 9 6(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 5(33) X(33)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22)
20N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 105N 1597W 34 15 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
12 105N 1597W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 105N 1597W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 112N 1621W 34 X 21(21) 10(31) X(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
24 112N 1621W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 112N 1621W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 119N 1649W 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) 11(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
36 119N 1649W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
36 119N 1649W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 133N 1678W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 15(43) 1(44) X(44)
48 133N 1678W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14)
48 133N 1678W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 164N 1714W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 10(42) 2(44)
72 164N 1714W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14)
72 164N 1714W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
96 194N 1730W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 18(26) 4(30)
96 194N 1730W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
96 194N 1730W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 226N 1735W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15)
120 226N 1735W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 226N 1735W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 45 50 65 65 60
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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