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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP2.CP012006.1.0608200251 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA12 PHFO 200251
PWSCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1       
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006         
500 pm HST Sat Aug 19 2006
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 160W       34  9   6(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  25(28)   5(33)   X(33)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   1(14)
15N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   6(22)
20N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 105N 1597W 34 15   6(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 12 105N 1597W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 105N 1597W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 112N 1621W 34  X  21(21)  10(31)   X(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 24 112N 1621W 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 112N 1621W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 119N 1649W 34  X   1( 1)  29(30)  11(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 36 119N 1649W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 119N 1649W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 133N 1678W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  25(28)  15(43)   1(44)   X(44)
 48 133N 1678W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 48 133N 1678W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 164N 1714W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  30(32)  10(42)   2(44)
 72 164N 1714W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)
 72 164N 1714W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 194N 1730W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  18(26)   4(30)
 96 194N 1730W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 96 194N 1730W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 226N 1735W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)
120 226N 1735W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 226N 1735W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      45      50      65      65      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MATSUDA