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      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA12 PHFO 041445
PWSCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
1500Z THU AUG 04 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION                          
ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...                       
LONGITUDE 143.0 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  25 KTS... 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
15N 145W       34  8   7(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 155N 1445W 34 14   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 12 155N 1445W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 155N 1445W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 156N 1468W 34  1  14(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 24 156N 1468W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 156N 1468W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 156N 1493W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)   4(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 36 156N 1493W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 156N 1493W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 156N 1520W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 48 156N 1520W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 156N 1520W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 155N 1574W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 155N 1574W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 155N 1574W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 149N 1628W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 96 149N 1628W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 149N 1628W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 142N 1680W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 142N 1680W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 142N 1680W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      25      20      15
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER POWELL                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$