National Weather Service

• • RSS Feeds
• Get Storm Info
  • Products
  • Satellite
  • Radar
  • Analyses/Forecasts
  • Hydrology
  • E-mail Updates
  • Help with Advisories
• Awareness
  • Preparedness
  • Weather School
  • Storm Names
  • Saffir-Simpson Scale
  • Glossary
  • Acronyms
  • FAQ
  • Breakpoints
• Hurricane History
  • Annual Summaries
  • Product Archive
  • Climatology
• About the CPHC
  • Our Mission
  • Our Office
  • News Items
  • HI RSS Feeds
• Contact Us
  • Webmaster
• Pacific Region Links
  • Regional HQ
  • WFO Honolulu
  • WFO Guam
  • WSO Pago Pago
  • Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
  • International Tsunami Information Center

NWS on Facebook

NWS on Twitter

Weather-Ready Nation

• NOAA
  • » NWS
    • » CPHC Home Page
      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA12 PHFO 040846
PWSCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0900Z THU AUG 04 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION                          
ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...                       
LONGITUDE 142.0 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  25 KTS... 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
15N 145W       34  1  12(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 159N 1433W 34 15   7(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 12 159N 1433W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 159N 1433W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 161N 1456W 34  1  22(23)   7(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 24 161N 1456W 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 161N 1456W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 161N 1480W 34  X   3( 3)  17(20)   4(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 161N 1480W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 161N 1480W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 161N 1506W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 161N 1506W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 161N 1506W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 161N 1560W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 161N 1560W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 161N 1560W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 156N 1615W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 96 156N 1615W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 96 156N 1615W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 149N 1667W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 149N 1667W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 149N 1667W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      35      30      25      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER POWELL                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$