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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP1.EP132016.041.201609032053 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 032053
PWSCP1

HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41                
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132016         
1100 am HST Sat Sep 03 2016
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
21N 156W       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
21N 158W       34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HANA           34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HONOLULU       34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
26N 159W       34  3  51(54)   4(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
26N 159W       50  X  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
26N 159W       64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
LIHUE          34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
20N 160W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
25N 160W       34  3  80(83)   3(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
25N 160W       50  X  53(53)   6(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
25N 160W       64  X  16(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
30N 160W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
35N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
40N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)
 
NIIHAU         34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
21N 160W       34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NIHOA          34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BUOY 51101     34  2   7( 9)   7(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
NECKER         34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 165W       34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
30N 165W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  34(37)  21(58)   X(58)   X(58)
30N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  15(22)   X(22)   X(22)
30N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
35N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)  18(40)   1(41)
35N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)
35N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
40N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   7(24)
 
30N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
35N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
40N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER POWELL