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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP1.EP132016.036.201609021435 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 021435
PWSCP1

HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36                
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132016         
500 am HST Fri Sep 02 2016
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 150W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 150W       50 85   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
20N 150W       64 49   2(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 
25N 150W       34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 151W       34 79  12(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
20N 151W       50 20  22(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
20N 151W       64  2  15(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
BUOY 51004     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 154W       34  2  22(24)   9(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
20N 154W       50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HILO           34  1   5( 6)   8(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   5( 5)   8(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
18N 156W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
21N 156W       34  X   6( 6)  32(38)   2(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
21N 156W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   4( 4)  22(26)   4(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
21N 158W       34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   8(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
HANA           34  X   5( 5)  25(30)   3(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   3( 3)  15(18)   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   2( 2)  20(22)   7(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   1( 1)  11(12)  12(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   1( 1)  11(12)  12(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
JOINT BASE PHH 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)  28(49)   X(49)   X(49)
26N 159W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   X(14)   X(14)
26N 159W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  13(19)   4(23)   X(23)   X(23)
LIHUE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   3(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)  41(67)   X(67)   X(67)
25N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  24(28)   X(28)   X(28)
25N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
30N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 
35N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  12(17)   X(17)   X(17)
NIHOA          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  28(32)   1(33)   X(33)
BUOY 51101     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BUOY 51101     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NECKER         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   4(18)   X(18)
25N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
30N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  33(42)   3(45)
30N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   1(12)
30N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
35N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)
 
40N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
GARDNER PINN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
30N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)
 
35N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
35N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
40N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD