Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.EP062013.015.1307281435 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 281435
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15          
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062013         
500 am HST Sun Jul 28 2013
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       2       9      12      21      29      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  3      19      36      37      40      41      NA
TROPICAL STORM  91      74      51      47      36      29      NA
HURRICANE        5       5       4       5       3       2      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        5       5       4       4       3       2      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   50KT    45KT    40KT    40KT    35KT    30KT    NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
HILO           34  X   3( 3)  30(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   1( 1)  21(22)   6(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   1( 1)  29(30)  11(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   1( 1)  22(23)  16(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)  16(16)  20(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  24(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   8(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD