Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.EP062013.014.1307280845 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 280845
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14          
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062013         
1100 pm HST Sat Jul 27 2013
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       8      17      28      36      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  3      18      35      41      43      41      NA
TROPICAL STORM  91      75      53      39      28      22      NA
HURRICANE        5       6       4       4       2       1      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        5       6       4       4       2       1      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   50KT    45KT    40KT    35KT    30KT    25KT    NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
HILO           34  X   1( 1)  20(21)  11(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   9( 9)  18(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  23(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   3(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD