Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.EP062011.015.1108190849 with times in HST
Display as UTC 
FOPA11 PHFO 190849
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15         
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062011         
1100 pm HST Thu Aug 18 2011
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       9      23      36      39      48      58
TROP DEPRESSION 36      53      49      41      41      36      31
TROPICAL STORM  61      37      27      23      19      16      10
HURRICANE        1       2       2       1       1       X       1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       1       2       1       1       X       1
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    30KT    25KT    20KT    20KT    15KT    10KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon 8pm Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CRAIG