Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.EP062011.013.1108182050 with times in HST
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FOPA11 PHFO 182050
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13         
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062011         
1100 am HST Thu Aug 18 2011
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       3       8      23      34      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  3      10      21      29      43      40      NA
TROPICAL STORM  91      79      66      56      32      25      NA
HURRICANE        5      11      10       7       2       1      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        5      11       9       6       2       1      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       1       1       1       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   50KT    50KT    45KT    40KT    30KT    25KT    NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  4  29(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
20N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD