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      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA11 PHFO 222034
PWSCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34       
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062007         
2100 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 163N 1706W 34 12   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 12 163N 1706W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 163N 1706W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 165N 1747W 34  X  14(14)   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 24 165N 1747W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 165N 1747W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 169N 1784W 34  X   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 36 169N 1784W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 169N 1784W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 174N 1786E 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 174N 1786E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 174N 1786E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 185N 1749E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 185N 1749E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 185N 1749E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      25      25      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CRAIG