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      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA11 PHFO 221435
PWSCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33       
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062007         
500 am HST Sun Jul 22 2007
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Sun 2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2am Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 166N 1685W 34 13   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 12 166N 1685W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 166N 1685W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 168N 1727W 34  X  14(14)   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 24 168N 1727W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 168N 1727W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 170N 1767W 34  X   X( X)  14(14)   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 170N 1767W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 170N 1767W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 175N 1796E 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 175N 1796E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 175N 1796E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 186N 1753E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 186N 1753E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 186N 1753E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      25      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOUSTON