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      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA11 PHFO 220845
PWSCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32       
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062007         
1100 pm HST Sat Jul 21 2007
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 166N 1659W 34 11   5(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 12 166N 1659W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 12 166N 1659W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 168N 1695W 34  X  15(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 24 168N 1695W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 168N 1695W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 171N 1731W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 171N 1731W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 171N 1731W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 176N 1767W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 176N 1767W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 176N 1767W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 191N 1773E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 191N 1773E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 191N 1773E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 206N 1735E 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 206N 1735E 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 206N 1735E 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOUSTON