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TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007
1100 am HST Sat Jul 21 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 163N 1626W 34 13 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
12 163N 1626W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 163N 1626W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 164N 1663W 34 X 15(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
24 164N 1663W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 164N 1663W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 165N 1701W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
36 165N 1701W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 165N 1701W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 169N 1738W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12)
48 169N 1738W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 169N 1738W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 184N 1793E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
72 184N 1793E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
72 184N 1793E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 203N 1747E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
96 203N 1747E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
96 203N 1747E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 225N 1698E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 225N 1698E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 225N 1698E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 25 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
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