FOPA11 PHFO 210249
PWSCP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007
0300 UTC SAT JUL 21 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 50002 34 5 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 166N 1573W 34 9 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
12 166N 1573W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 166N 1573W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 168N 1606W 34 X 12(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
24 168N 1606W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 168N 1606W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 169N 1639W 34 X X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
36 169N 1639W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 169N 1639W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 173N 1672W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
48 173N 1672W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 173N 1672W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 181N 1734W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
72 181N 1734W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
72 181N 1734W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 195N 1787W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
96 195N 1787W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
96 195N 1787W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 218N 1768E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 218N 1768E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 218N 1768E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 25 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD