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TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007
1100 am HST Fri Jul 20 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 50002 34 X 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 167N 1551W 34 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
12 167N 1551W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 167N 1551W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 170N 1584W 34 X 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
24 170N 1584W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 170N 1584W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 172N 1616W 34 X X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
36 172N 1616W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 172N 1616W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 176N 1647W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
48 176N 1647W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 176N 1647W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 182N 1711W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13)
72 182N 1711W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 182N 1711W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 194N 1768W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
96 194N 1768W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 194N 1768W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 203N 1783E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
120 203N 1783E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 203N 1783E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 35 35 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
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