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TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007
1500 UTC THU JUL 19 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 50004 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HILO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 161N 1466W 34 15 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
12 161N 1466W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 161N 1466W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 166N 1496W 34 X 15(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
24 166N 1496W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 166N 1496W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 171N 1527W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
36 171N 1527W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 171N 1527W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 175N 1558W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18)
48 175N 1558W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 175N 1558W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 181N 1618W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11)
72 181N 1618W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 181N 1618W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 183N 1677W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
96 183N 1677W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 183N 1677W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 182N 1733W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 182N 1733W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 182N 1733W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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