Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.EP062007.21.0707191445 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 191445
PWSCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21       
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062007         
500 am HST Thu Jul 19 2007
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 50004     34  X   1( 1)  13(14)   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
BUOY 50004     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 50002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon 2am Tue
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 161N 1466W 34 15   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 12 161N 1466W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 161N 1466W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 166N 1496W 34  X  15(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 24 166N 1496W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 166N 1496W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 171N 1527W 34  X   X( X)  14(14)   6(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 171N 1527W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 171N 1527W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 175N 1558W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 175N 1558W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 175N 1558W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 181N 1618W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
 72 181N 1618W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 181N 1618W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 183N 1677W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 96 183N 1677W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 183N 1677W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 182N 1733W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 182N 1733W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 182N 1733W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      30      30      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER DONALDSON