Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.EP062007.20.0707190845 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 190845
PWSCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20       
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062007         
1100 pm HST Wed Jul 18 2007
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
BUOY 50004     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 50002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun 8pm Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 159N 1449W 34 14   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 12 159N 1449W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 159N 1449W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 164N 1479W 34  X  15(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 24 164N 1479W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 164N 1479W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 170N 1510W 34  X   1( 1)  14(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 170N 1510W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 170N 1510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 175N 1541W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 175N 1541W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 175N 1541W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 181N 1602W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 72 181N 1602W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 181N 1602W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 184N 1661W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
 96 184N 1661W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 184N 1661W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 184N 1718W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
120 184N 1718W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 184N 1718W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      30      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOUSTON/DONALDSON