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TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007
500 pm HST Wed Jul 18 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 1 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun 2pm Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 154N 1432W 34 15 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
12 154N 1432W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 154N 1432W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 159N 1461W 34 X 16(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
24 159N 1461W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 159N 1461W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 166N 1492W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
36 166N 1492W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 166N 1492W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 171N 1523W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18)
48 171N 1523W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 171N 1523W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 178N 1584W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
72 178N 1584W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 178N 1584W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 182N 1645W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
96 182N 1645W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 182N 1645W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 183N 1702W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 183N 1702W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 183N 1702W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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