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TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006
500 am HST Wed Jul 26 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 162N 1441W 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
12 162N 1441W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 162N 1441W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 166N 1460W 34 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 166N 1460W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 166N 1460W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 171N 1482W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 171N 1482W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 171N 1482W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 176N 1508W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 176N 1508W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 176N 1508W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 185N 1564W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
72 185N 1564W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 185N 1564W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 191N 1617W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
96 191N 1617W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 191N 1617W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 192N 1673W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 192N 1673W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 192N 1673W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 25 20 15 15 15 15
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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