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TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006
1100 pm HST Tue Jul 25 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat 8pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 164N 1432W 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
12 164N 1432W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 164N 1432W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 167N 1453W 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 167N 1453W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 167N 1453W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 172N 1474W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 172N 1474W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 172N 1474W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 178N 1500W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 178N 1500W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 178N 1500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 186N 1554W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
72 186N 1554W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 186N 1554W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 193N 1607W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
96 193N 1607W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 193N 1607W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 195N 1663W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 195N 1663W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 195N 1663W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 25 20 15 15 15 15
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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