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TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006
1100 am HST Tue Jul 25 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 162N 1432W 34 11 3(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
12 162N 1432W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 162N 1432W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 164N 1442W 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 164N 1442W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 164N 1442W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 169N 1462W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
36 169N 1462W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 169N 1462W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 174N 1490W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
48 174N 1490W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 174N 1490W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 186N 1549W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
72 186N 1549W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
72 186N 1549W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 205N 1610W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
96 205N 1610W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 205N 1610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 218N 1674W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
120 218N 1674W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 218N 1674W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 25 25 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA/DONALDSON
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