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TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006
500 am HST Tue Jul 25 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
20N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 1(13)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 163N 1432W 34 71 4(75) 1(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
12 163N 1432W 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
12 163N 1432W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 165N 1441W 34 19 17(36) 5(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 165N 1441W 50 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 165N 1441W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 169N 1455W 34 1 7( 8) 13(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
36 169N 1455W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 169N 1455W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 174N 1475W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23)
48 174N 1475W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 174N 1475W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 188N 1533W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14)
72 188N 1533W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 188N 1533W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 201N 1601W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9)
96 201N 1601W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 201N 1601W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 213N 1667W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 213N 1667W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 213N 1667W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 35 35 35 35 35 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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