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TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006
1100 pm HST Mon Jul 24 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 5 11(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
20N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) X(17)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri 8pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 163N 1438W 34 83 5(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
12 163N 1438W 50 27 6(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
12 163N 1438W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 166N 1453W 34 13 38(51) 6(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
24 166N 1453W 50 1 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
24 166N 1453W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 170N 1467W 34 1 14(15) 15(30) 6(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
36 170N 1467W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 170N 1467W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 174N 1480W 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 10(23) 6(29) 1(30) X(30)
48 174N 1480W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 174N 1480W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 187N 1530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17)
72 187N 1530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 187N 1530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 203N 1578W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10)
96 203N 1578W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 203N 1578W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 217N 1640W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 217N 1640W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 217N 1640W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 45 40 40 40 35 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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