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HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006
500 pm HST Mon Jul 24 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 7 28(35) 6(41) 1(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
15N 145W 50 1 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
20N 145W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15(19) 6(25) X(25)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 3(18)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 5(14)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 161N 1435W 34 89 5(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 161N 1435W 50 65 8(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
12 161N 1435W 64 14 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
24 164N 1451W 34 16 52(68) 9(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
24 164N 1451W 50 2 29(31) 7(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
24 164N 1451W 64 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 168N 1468W 34 2 18(20) 34(54) 7(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63)
36 168N 1468W 50 X 3( 3) 16(19) 4(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
36 168N 1468W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 173N 1486W 34 X 3( 3) 18(21) 16(37) 9(46) 1(47) X(47)
48 173N 1486W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)
48 173N 1486W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 183N 1523W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 18(21) 6(27) 1(28)
72 183N 1523W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 183N 1523W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 196N 1563W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16)
96 196N 1563W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
96 196N 1563W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 213N 1608W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
120 213N 1608W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 213N 1608W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 60 60 55 50 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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