Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.EP052006.33.0607250230 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 250230
PWSCP1

HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33                
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052006         
500 pm HST Mon Jul 24 2006
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  7  28(35)   6(41)   1(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)
15N 145W       50  1   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
20N 145W       34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  15(19)   6(25)   X(25)
BUOY 50004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   3(18)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   3(18)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   3(17)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   4(15)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   5(14)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)
 
BUOY 50002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 161N 1435W 34 89   5(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 161N 1435W 50 65   8(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 12 161N 1435W 64 14   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 24 164N 1451W 34 16  52(68)   9(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 24 164N 1451W 50  2  29(31)   7(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 24 164N 1451W 64  X   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 36 168N 1468W 34  2  18(20)  34(54)   7(61)   2(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 36 168N 1468W 50  X   3( 3)  16(19)   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 36 168N 1468W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 48 173N 1486W 34  X   3( 3)  18(21)  16(37)   9(46)   1(47)   X(47)
 48 173N 1486W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 173N 1486W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 183N 1523W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  18(21)   6(27)   1(28)
 72 183N 1523W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 72 183N 1523W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 196N 1563W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   4(16)
 96 196N 1563W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 96 196N 1563W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
 
120 213N 1608W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
120 213N 1608W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
120 213N 1608W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     60      60      55      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER POWELL