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HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006
1100 am HST Mon Jul 24 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 2 13(15) 5(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
15N 145W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 145W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 5(23) 1(24)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 2(18)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 165N 1432W 34 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 165N 1432W 50 68 11(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
12 165N 1432W 64 37 10(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
24 170N 1449W 34 11 58(69) 8(77) 1(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
24 170N 1449W 50 2 35(37) 7(44) 1(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
24 170N 1449W 64 X 14(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
36 173N 1466W 34 1 20(21) 32(53) 7(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62)
36 173N 1466W 50 X 4( 4) 16(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
36 173N 1466W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 178N 1485W 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 18(36) 9(45) X(45) X(45)
48 178N 1485W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
48 178N 1485W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 185N 1523W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 17(20) 5(25) 1(26)
72 185N 1523W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
72 185N 1523W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 199N 1566W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15)
96 199N 1566W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
96 199N 1566W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 215N 1613W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
120 215N 1613W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 215N 1613W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 65 60 55 50 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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