Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP1.CP012008.9.0808090251 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA11 PHFO 090251
PWSCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9        
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012008         
500 pm HST Fri Aug 08 2008
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 9.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       4       9      12      10      12       8
TROP DEPRESSION 36      41      38      38      33      34      34
TROPICAL STORM  63      52      49      46      51      49      54
HURRICANE        1       2       4       4       6       5       5
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       2       3       4       6       5       4
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       1       1       X       1
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    35KT    35KT    35KT    40KT    40KT    45KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 160W       34  X  11(11)  13(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
10N 160W       50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
10N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER DONALDSON